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Showing posts from April, 2023

My position at CME

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After having closed my position in PEP at profit , it was time to look for new opportunities. Since last year CME Group has seemed interesting to me. Financially solid, always beating Earnings and growing at a constant pace. After analyzing the most important graphic temporalities, I decide that my next investment will be here. Note that it is touching the bottom of the large channel on the monthly chart after having retraced to the 78.6 Fibonacci level . In addition, the RSI appears in full bullish break and there are already 3 months of growth in the action. My target profit will be $220 as conservative and $280 as ambitious. What do you think? Subscribe to my newsletter to have all my positions in your mailbox.

My trade on PEP

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One of the first successful trades according to my vision and strategy in the financial markets, this time $PEP. As I mention at the end of previous post, I like to look for cheap shares that are part of the SCHD or JEPI holdings . The companies with the greatest weight and that were selected to be part of these ETFs are serious and financially solid. I found price support in PEP in the area of ​​$169 which coincided with a long trend line (shown in yellow) . The price retested the trend line again and I decided to enter. One of the most positive signs that I highlight for having stayed up to the target of $190 is the entry of institutional volume in the second week of March , giving it decision and bullish continuity. Today the RSI indicator was looking very overbought also indicating that the momentum may be ending. Today I happily closed my position in PEP at the price of $189.5 with a profit of +%10.5 on my investment in this company. How are you in the markets? Leave me your co...

Should I care about the Pre-Market?

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The answer is yes, but not always. However, the Pre-Market , in general, should not affect or modify your investment decisions in most cases. Over the years, I have seen many Pre-Market days in full red . I am going to tell you a true story that I lived (and several times!): --- Everything indicated a great bearish day in the entire market, the red Pre Market showed it. In fact, it is fulfilled and the first minutes of the market is catastrophic. Big hands don't stop selling. I see how the value of my shares in a matter of minutes goes down and down. At a certain moment, everything seems to have found a floor, and the great investor decides to start Buying. Slowly, the red of the market begins to turn to a breakeven-flavored gray and the hours after the big bleed turn green. In the midst of that fearful situation, I let myself go and also sold my shares at a loss. The market is close to closing and I already see the Green color in most of the actions. The closing bell rings and we ...

What I learned from the Crash of 2022

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The big correction in the SP500 that was triggered on January 10 until October 18, 2022 brought me to several thoughts that I want to share with you briefly, so that we understand the market in the simplest way possible, leaving aside the emotional extremes of Greed and Fear . Lesson: The SP500 ES may fall, but that doesn't mean all stocks will fall. Some companies have had a spectacular rise despite the fall of the most important index of the stock market. The reason why some stocks did not fall so dramatically was because they were already "cheap" in the eyes of investors and enjoyed good fundamentals that supported corporate earnings. One case of a strong company that grew tremendously during the SP500 crash was Merk MRK . The stock rose +20% while the ES fell -27% Conclusion: Do not be afraid of the fall/correction in the indices. Great investment opportunities can be found despite bearish movements. Things to Avoid in a context of Bearish Indices: Avoid investin...

Your grandparents' breakfast cost 4000% less

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It is not a joke. In the image that I show you (sorry it's in Spanish, you already know that my native language is that) you will see the list of ingredients of a typical breakfast from 1935, where the origin of each element is also specified. 1935's Breakfast included (Source: Think And Grow Rich - Napoleon Hill - 1935): Juice, bread, wheat buns, tea, bananas, eggs, sugar and butter. The total cost of your grandparents' breakfast was $0.20. Over the decades, inflation, always silent and present, together with the depreciation of the dollar plus other marketing factors led to today, 2023, our breakfast at a fast food chain costing a little more... approximately $8 depending on the region where we are. Do you know how much more this represents in financial terms? The answer is that our breakfast is +%4000  more expensive than that of our grandparents in these relative terms. This is one of the reasons why I am interested in having knowledge of the markets. Perhaps most of t...

Why JNJ

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I think I captured JNJ at a suitable time. Watch as the price rests on the yellow trend line near $150. Before that touch, I bought 12 shares at $162.7 . I thought the price was going to stop earlier. I maintained my position and after the fall to the area of $150, the price is already in profit for me. Volume entry in the $150 area is encouraging and the company's Earnings are always solid.  I plan to hold my Johnson and Johnson shares towards the $180 zone giving a 10% profit. ... Then...you know .

ENPH other of my pics

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I always liked Enphase Energy . In fact, one of my first winning investments was with this company. What do I like about ENPH? It has long legs? What??? Yes, if you look at the chart, the impulses are loooong, and that can generate interesting returns for us and we hunt the momentum from the bottom up. This time I decided to invest in 5 shares of ENPH at $213.7 to take profits in the $330 area. That would be a return of +30% . ENPH is a profitable energy company, with good fundamentals that, as energy is cyclical, so are its impulses.

My position in AMGN stock

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A sector that has always interested me since the pandemic is the pharmaceutic . I have already discussed my interest in PFE and now we come to Amgen. AMGN looks great on weekly chart. After a big pullback, watch as it bounces off the yellow trend line area. It does it with a lot of perfection and an income of acceptable volume of purchases. The target price for my position in AMGN is located at $260, however I will evaluate if the movement has the strength to go further. I bought 8 AMGN shares at $242.7 so holding up to $260 would give me +8% returns . Nothing big but acceptable in these contexts of uncertainty.

My view of NOW

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To analyze the Service Now action, it is best to go to the weekly chart. See with what decision it breaks the bearish wedge indicated in yellow. The interesting thing about NOW is that I see a lot of upside compared to other actions that I analyze, practically a +40% possible upside . I bought 3 shares of NOW at the price of $461 that I plan to hold up to $600. It really is a wonderful return. He says that a bad season in earnings is coming (in practically all companies), so I will be attentive to the movement in the coming weeks. However, I am satisfied with my entry price, so if I break even again, it will be a matter of continuing to hold for a longer term.

In PFE

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I think Pfizer is one of the legendary companies on the Stock Market; leader and financially strong. For this reason, after the big drop from $54, I was interested in analyzing it. I bought PFE at $43, it fell to $39, and I decided to sell. Mistake... but it's part of the way. Then I bought again at $41.1 and now we are on a good path. Because? Because in this lateralization that I point out, a good amount of volume entered (3/13) that makes me believe that the fall has been partially stopped. Furthermore, this stop occurs in the $40 area which was the precursor to the big push of July 2021. The purple indicator at the bottom of the chart is called RSI, I sometimes use it as part of my buy decisions on Daily or Weekly charts...it looks good currently. I have 44 stocks of PFE. I'm interested in holding PFE up to $49 ... after that... I'm Not Holding .

Why I like ADP

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First of all, what I don't like is this positive news from Yahoo Finance ( https://finance.yahoo.com/news/adp-high-quality-company-enjoying-205911571.html ) Many times they tell us things to get excited, buy and thus collapse the action... but hey, that's a matter of luck. Secondly, ADP presents, from my humble point of view, a pattern of Accumulation-Manipulation and subsequent Expansion as shown in the chart. Also, ADP has received a lot of volume on 3/17 which, from the subsequent sideways movement, undoubtedly symbolizes institutional buying. The trend line break is not pretty to see, but if we stick with the pattern I mentioned, ADP would be at an interesting Buy price in the zone of $210-$220 to hold to $245 or above. If the price breaks below $210 we will sadly have to either sell at a loss or hold for a much longer term than expected. Personally, I bought 9 shares of ADP at the price of $225 not knowing that the Manipulation phase would come.

Welcome

Hi, I'm Juan, I was born in '86 in Uruguay, do you know where that is? It doesn't matter...  I'm here to talk about investments and how I grow my capital, which is "little"... for now.  I started studying trading and long-term investments during the 2020 pandemic. I don't do this full time, I'm a film maker,  however, the world of investments and markets fascinated me.  Since I started investing in stocks I was lucky to have the support of my father and yes, we invest together.  Join me in this blog where I tell you my ins and outs, some go well... and others not so much.  Thanks for stopping by here!  Juan